The Influence of Face-offs and Zone Starts on Corsi
One of the most important pursuits in advanced hockey stats, in my opinion, is to put our numbers into context. When looking at something like shot attempts, or Corsi, it is difficult to compare...
View ArticleThe Impact of Winning Faceoffs in Different Zones
In my piece from earlier this week, I tried to calculate what kind of impact a player’s on-ice faceoff percentage (FO%) has on his overall even strength Corsi, along with his zone starts (ZS%). I...
View ArticleSeason Fancystats Update After 8 Games
With me only being able to process games in batches, I’m going to try out a new format for posts that I can do periodically throughout the season as I catch up to the games — I’ll provide the running...
View ArticleSeason Fancystats Update After 15 Games
Here’s an even strength fancystats update after game 15, up to and including the win over NYR. So almost all of their key metrics for the season are 50% or higher, with just the overall Fenwick being...
View ArticleHow Improbable is David Perron’s Season?
I think it’s fairly obvious to most Oilers fans that David Perron is having a tough time scoring goals this season. He’s been robbed by goalies, hit crests, missed his spots, and otherwise had crappy...
View ArticlePiecing the Shot Puzzle Together
Over the last few weeks I’ve been experimenting with new formulas to determine how shot distance, shot type, and shot quantity can all be intertwined into a new shot-based statistic. Basically, I’m...
View ArticleTesting the Predictive Value of Expected Goals vs Other Metrics
Picking up on my series about a new shot-quantity/shot-quality hybrid measure I’ve been calling Expected Goals, I wanted to share some of the predictive testing I’ve done on it using only the 2011-12...
View ArticleMcDavid vs all-time Oiler seasons
As the surprisingly enjoyable 2016-17 season winds to a close, I’m struck with questions of how historic Connor McDavid’s season is in the context of Oilers history. When people like Mike Comrie were...
View ArticleMcDavid vs all-time NHL seasons
In my first post in this series, I took a look at how impressive Connor McDavid’s current season is in context to Oilers history. In today’s, I’ll give some context into how impressive it is in terms...
View ArticleMcDavid vs all-time 20 year old NHLers
This article is the third in a series on putting Connor McDavid’s 2016-17 NHL season into historical context. The first article focused on McDavid’s place in Oilers scoring lore — since the writing of...
View Article