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Everyone Makes Mistakes: Oilers/Avs Revision
So sometimes the rice paper and hickory holding up my airship springs a leak and I make mistakes. The overall player Corsi chart from last game had an error, in that it missed the last 7 or so minutes...
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Game Notes: Oilers/Kings Feb 19
This was an ugly game from a possession perspective, with the Oilers getting soundly beaten in each period. The negative 31 Corsi for this game is the worst on the season (previously was -19 on two...
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Game Notes: Oilers/Wild Feb 21
In what will likely not be commemorated on LaserDiscs sent to the outer solar system in case of extra terrestrial contact, the Oilers lost 3-1 to the Minnesota Wild on Thursday night in a fashion that...
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Game Notes: Oilers/Hawks Feb 25
So how do you define a blowout? The Oilers somehow managed to leave Chicago with a point after having been handed one by the Black Hawks. I mean, it was pretty obvious this game wasn’t going well,...
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Game Notes: Oilers/Stars Feb 28
Well wasn’t that a bit of fun? The Oilers hadn’t had a game like this (where they can do things like point to the scoreboard and laugh, for instance) the entire season. We all knew that the...
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Games Notes: Oilers/Blues Mar 1
Edmonton Oilers, take heart! Soon, the media may stop talking about your even strength scoring! Though, they may start talking more about you not being a very good team. Fair trade? The Oilers got out...
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Optimizing the NHL Divisional Alignment
I’m one of those people whose major area of study in university is basically completely unknown by the general public. Whenever it comes up in conversation, I need to resort to describing things that...
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Game Notes: Oilers/Wild Mar 3
In a game that I should have found any excuse not to watch, the Oilers fell to the Minnesota Wild 4-2 on Sunday night. I’m not sure the Oilers would have won this game if the Wild had dressed a...
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Optimizing the NHL Divisional Alignment, Part II
A couple of days ago I wrote a post in which I used discrete mathematical programming to optimize the NHL’s divisional realignment with respect to minimizing travel distances between each team in each...
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Game Note: Oilers/Jackets Mar 5
I’d like to say I have some hope left for this season — to say that if the Oilers made a couple of small tweaks here and there they could pull this one out from the tailspin. I’ve been waiting to...
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The Statistical Relationship Between Hits, Shots, and Points
With the recent acquisition of Mike Brown, the Oilers seem to be falling prey to the mantra that you need to outhit your opponents in order to succeed in the NHL. Many, many media members have...
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Game Notes: Oilers/Wings Mar 7
I’ve watched more than a few Oiler games this year where I felt they weren’t close to scoring a goal. Those games would feature the same kind of zombie play we saw tonight, with the team going...
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Games Notes: Oilers/Preds Mar 8
Here are the charts for now. After that pathetic display of a hockey game the wife and I need to do some drinking. I’ll write some notes in the morning.
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Season Player-with-Player Matrix
I’m working on an exercise to optimize the Oilers’ line and pair matchings to maximize Corsi for the team. The first step was to compile player-with-player Corsi percentages for the season to date —...
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Optimizing an NHL Roster: Edmonton Oilers Edition
One of the things that fascinates me about hockey is how some players seem to find chemistry together while others do not. If you follow my game recaps, my player-with-player matrices try to tell the...
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Game Notes: Oilers/Hawks Mar 10
Should we wait until the season ends to give Shawn Horcoff the Hart trophy or can we just give it to him now? Yes, I kid, but only slightly — Horcoff showed rust at times in his return after an...
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Game Notes: Oilers/Avs Mar 12
On Saturday February 23rd, the Oilers set out on this 9-game road trip with the fate of this season in their hands. After 7 games they’d only managed 4 points and it was looking like the zeppelin was...
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Adjusting Corsi for Zone Starts and Quality Factors
One of the major flaws identified with Corsi as a metric is that it is very prone to influence from factors outside of the player’s purview — where he starts on the ice, who he plays with, and who he...
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Game Notes: Oilers/Wings Mar 15
I’m happy to report that I had the pleasure of being at this game tonight in person. I was expecting a loss — I can’t actually remember witnessing an Oilers victory over the Red Wings since the onset...
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