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Ranking All NHL Forwards by Line with Adjusted Corsi

Before the season starts, I wanted to refresh the Adjusted Corsi statistic I’d developed last season using the full season of 2012-2013 data and introducing a new twist of logic. The gist of why this...

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Game Stats: Oilers/Canucks Sept 21

Here are the shot differential stats from last night’s game versus the Canucks:

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Game Stats: Oilers/Jets – Sept 23

Here were the shot differential stats from tonight’s game vs the Jets. Also known as: potentially the worst game Yakupov will ever have in terms of Corsi.

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Game Stats: Oilers/Rangers – Sept 24

Here are the stats from tonight’s 5-3 win over the Rangers:   UPDATE: Here’s the combined Corsi rankings through 7 preseason games:

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The Evolution of Goon Culture in the NHL

With the recent ungentlemanly behaviour on display in the NHL preseason, many people are putting their two cents into the debate on “goon” culture.  People have wondered when it began, how it evolved,...

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Combining Shot Differentials with Shot Distances

Recently I wrote a piece on the relationship between shot distance and scoring.  The main takeaway from that article is seen in the following chart: There’s a distinct non-linear relationship between...

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Game Stats: Oilers/Red Wings Nov 2

Here are tonight’s even strength shot differential stats vs the Red Wings: Shot Distances: Expected Goals: Corsi by Player: By Period: By Opposition player: Corsi% consolidated by opposition line: by...

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The Value of Rebounds

There are certain things that as longtime fans of hockey, we innately know must be true.  One of those things is that an inordinately high amount of goals are scored on rebounds.  In my recent work to...

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Game Stats: Oilers/Panthers Nov 5

Here are tonight’s even strength stats vs the Panthers: By Player: Overall shot distances: Shot distances by player: Expected Goals Expected Goals by player: Corsi by Period: Corsi by opponent: Corsi%...

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Dissecting the Effectiveness of Shot Types

As I tumble further down the rabbit hole on shot quality analysis, I’ve come to a place where I need to establish whether shot types differ in efficacy by distance, and if so, does it matter enough to...

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Game Stats: Oilers/Lightning Nov 7

Here are tonight’s stats vs the Lightning: Corsi by Player: Expected Goals: Expected goals by player: Shot Distances: Shot distances by player: Corsi by Period: Corsi by opposition player: Corsi% by...

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Game Stats: Oilers/Flyers Nov 9

Here were yesterday’s game stats at even strength: Corsi by Player: Expected Goals: Expected goals by player: Shot distances: Shot Distances by Player: Corsi by Period: Corsi by Opponent: Corsi%...

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Game Stats: Oilers/Hawks Nov 10

Here are tonight’s even strength shot differential stats vs the Blackhawks: By Player: Expected Goals: Expected Goals by Player: Shot Distances Shot distances by Player: Corsi by period: Corsi by...

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Piecing the Shot Puzzle Together

Over the last few weeks I’ve been experimenting with new formulas to determine how shot distance, shot type, and shot quantity can all be intertwined into a new shot-based statistic.  Basically, I’m...

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Game Stats: Oilers/Stars Nov 13

Here are tonight’s even strength stats: Corsi by Player: Expected Goals (with the new formula): Expected goals by player: Shot Distances: Shot Distances by Player: Corsi by period: Corsi by opponent...

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Game Stats: Oilers/Flames Nov 16

Here are tonight’s even strength stats: Corsi by Player: Expected Goals: Expected Goals by Player: Shot Distances: Shot Distances by Player: Corsi by Period: Corsi by opponent: Corsi% consolidated by...

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Game Stats: Oilers/Jackets Nov 19

Here are tonight’s even strength stats: Corsi by Player: Expected Goals: Expected Goals by player: Shot distances: Shot distances by Player: Corsi by period: Corsi by opposition player: Corsi%...

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Game Stats: Oilers/Panthers Nov 21

Here are tonight’s even strength stats: Corsi by player: Expected Goals: Expected Goals by player: Shot distances: Shot distances by player: Corsi by period: Corsi by opposition player: Corsi%...

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Game Stats: Oilers/Hawks Nov 25

Here are tonight’s even strength stats: Corsi by Player: Expected Goals: Expected Goals by player: Shot distances: Shot distances by player: Corsi by period: Corsi by opposition player: Corsi%...

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Testing the Predictive Value of Expected Goals vs Other Metrics

Picking up on my series about a new shot-quantity/shot-quality hybrid measure I’ve been calling Expected Goals, I wanted to share some of the predictive testing I’ve done on it using only the 2011-12...

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